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Article >  Journal of Tropical Meteorology  > 1998 >  4(2): 220

PREDICTIVE MODEL ON THE YEARLY FREQUENCY OF TYPHOON LANDING IN SOUTH OF CHINA

  • Chengdu Institute of Meteorology, Chengdu 610041

Funding:

  • The major purpose of this study was to develop a predictive model of the yearly frequency of typhoon.Based on historical data, a predictive model of yearly frequency of typhoon that landed in South China was proposed during the season of typhoon using the basic thinking and its algorithm of Pro.jcction Pursuit Regression (PPR). The results show that the predictive precision of PPR model is much better than that of stepwise regression (SR) model.
  • [1] Chen Qingjun. Zheng Zuguo, Xu Jiang, 1996. Application of projection pursuit regression technique (PPR) in analysis of cucumber photosynthitic rate in solar energy greenhouse (in Chinese). J Yinjiang Agricul. Univ.19: 28-32.
    [2] Diaconis P, Friedman D. 1984. Asymptotics of graphical projection pursuit. Ann. stasis., 12: 793-815.
    [3] Friedman J H, Tukey J W. 1974. A projection pursuit algorithm for erploratory data analysis, IEEE Trans. Computers C-23: 881-889.
    [4] Friedman J Ei, Stuetzle W, 1981.Projection pursuit regression. J. Amen. Stasis., 76: 817-823.
    [5] Huber P J, 1985. Projection pursuit (with discussion). Ann. Statis., 13: 435-525.
    [6] Liu Daxiu, Zheng Zuguo, Ge Yixion, 1995. The applied researches of projection pursuit regression in the experiment design analysis (in Chinese). Appl. Stasis., Manage., 14: 47-51.
    [7] Liu Zuuyone, Deng Xinmin, 1995. A primary study on the application. of artificial neural network to the forecasting of typhoon (in Chinese). J:Natural Disasters, 4: 86-90.
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Li Zuoyong, Deng Xinmin, Sang Huamin. PREDICTIVE MODEL ON THE YEARLY FREQUENCY OF TYPHOON LANDING IN SOUTH OF CHINA [J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 1998, 4(2): 220.
Li Zuoyong, Deng Xinmin, Sang Huamin. PREDICTIVE MODEL ON THE YEARLY FREQUENCY OF TYPHOON LANDING IN SOUTH OF CHINA [J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 1998, 4(2): 220.
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    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 03 March 1997
    Manuscript revised: 03 July 1997
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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    PREDICTIVE MODEL ON THE YEARLY FREQUENCY OF TYPHOON LANDING IN SOUTH OF CHINA

    • Chengdu Institute of Meteorology, Chengdu 610041
    • Received Date: 1997-03-03
    • Rev Recd Date: 1997-07-03

    Abstract: The major purpose of this study was to develop a predictive model of the yearly frequency of typhoon.Based on historical data, a predictive model of yearly frequency of typhoon that landed in South China was proposed during the season of typhoon using the basic thinking and its algorithm of Pro.jcction Pursuit Regression (PPR). The results show that the predictive precision of PPR model is much better than that of stepwise regression (SR) model.

    Li Zuoyong, Deng Xinmin, Sang Huamin. PREDICTIVE MODEL ON THE YEARLY FREQUENCY OF TYPHOON LANDING IN SOUTH OF CHINA [J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 1998, 4(2): 220.
    Citation: Li Zuoyong, Deng Xinmin, Sang Huamin. PREDICTIVE MODEL ON THE YEARLY FREQUENCY OF TYPHOON LANDING IN SOUTH OF CHINA [J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 1998, 4(2): 220.
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