[1] CHAN J C L. Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclones [M]//The Science and Forecasting of Tropical Cyclones.WMO/TD-No 1129, 2002: 26-33.
[2] ABERSON S D, LORD J, DEMARIA M, et al. Short rangeensemble forecasting of hurricane tracks [C]//The 21stConference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. Miami:Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1995: 494-496.
[3] ABERSON S D, BENDER M A, TULEYA R E. Ensembleforecasting of tropical cyclone tracks [C]//The 12th Conferenceon Numerical Weather Prediction. Phoenix: Amer. Meteor. Soc.,1998: 290-292.
[4] ABERSON S D, BENDER M A, TULEYA R E. Ensembleforecasting of tropical cyclone intensity [C]//Symposium onTropical Cyclone Intensity Change. Phoenix: Amer. Meteor.Soc., 1998: 150-153.
[5] ZHANG Z, KRISHNAMURTI T N. Ensemble forecastingof hurricane tracks [J]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1997, 78(12):2785-2795.
[6] ZHANG Z, KRISHNAMURTI T N. A perturbation methodfor hurricane ensemble predictions [J]. Mon. Wea. Rev., 1999,127(4): 447-469.
[7] BRIAN P M, KRISHNAMURTI T N. Ensemble forecast ofa typhoon flood event [J]. Wea. and Forecast., 2001, 16(4):399-415.
[8] CHEUNG K K W, CHAN J C L. Ensemble forecasting oftropical cyclone motion using a barotropical model Part I:perturbations of the environment [J]. Mon. Wea. Rev., 1999,127(6): 1229-1243.
[9] CHEUNG K K W, CHAN J C L. Ensemble forecasting oftropical cyclone motion using a barotropical model Part II:Perturbations of the vertex [J]. Mon. Wea. Rev., 1999, 127(11):2617-2640.
[10] CHEUNG K K W. Ensemble forecasting of tropicalcyclone motion: comparison between regional bred modes andrandom perturbations [J]. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 2001, 78:23-34.
[11] PURI K, BARKMEIJER J, PALMER T N. Ensembleprediction of tropical cyclones using targeted diabatic singularvectors [J]. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc, 2001, 127: 709-731.
[12] ZHOU Xia-qiong,DUAN Yi-hong,ZHU Yong-ti. Theensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion I: Using aprimitive equation barotropic model [J]. J. Trop. Meteor., 2003,19(1): 1-8.
[13] ZHOU Xia-qiong, CHAN J C L. Ensemble forecasting oftropical cyclone motion using a baroclinic model [J]. Adv.Atmos. Sci., 2006, 3: 22-34.
[14] HUANG Yan-yan, WAN Qi-lin, YUAN Jin-nan, et al.Experiments of ensemble forecast of typhoon track using BDAperturbing method [J]. J. Trop. Meteor., 2005, 22(1): 49-54.
[15] YUAN Ji-nan, WAN Qi-lin, HUANG Yan-yan et al. Theexperiments of ensemble prediction of the track of tropicalcyclone in South China Sea [J]. J. Trop. Meteor., 2005, 22(2):105-112.
[16] WANG Chen-xi, LIANG Xu-dong. Ensemble predictionexperiments of tropical cyclone track [J]. J. Appl. Meteor. Sci.,2007, 18(5): 586-593.
[17] HUANG Xiao-gang, FEI Jian-fang, LU Han-cheng. Theensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone track based onensemble Kalman filter data assimilation. [J]. Chin. J. Atmos.Sci., 2007, 31(3): 468-478.
[18] HUANG Wei, DUAN Yi-hong, XUE Ji-shan, et al.Operational experiments and its performance analysis of thetropical cyclone numerical model (GRAPES_TCM) [J]. ActaMeteor. Sinica, 2007, 65(4): 578-587.
[19] LIU Q, MARCHORK T, PAN H L, et al. Improvements inhurricane initialization and forecasting at NCEP with globaland regional (GFDL) models [R]. Maryland, TechnicalProcedures Bulletin, 2000. No. 472.