• 中文核心期刊要目总览
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 中国科学引文数据库(CSCD)
  • 中国科技论文与引文数据库(CSTPCD)
  • 中国学术期刊文摘数据库(CSAD)
  • 中国学术期刊(网络版)(CNKI)
  • 中文科技期刊数据库
  • 万方数据知识服务平台
  • 中国超星期刊域出版平台
  • 国家科技学术期刊开放平台
  • 荷兰文摘与引文数据库(SCOPUS)
  • 日本科学技术振兴机构数据库(JST)

Impact of the Winter Southern Indian Ocean Dipole on the Summer Precipitation Pattern of Southern Flood and Northern Drought in China

  • Abstract: This study explores the impact of winter sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean on summer precipitation patterns in China, utilizing data from reanalysis sources and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models. The results reveal that the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole (SIOD), characterized by contrasting SST anomalies in the northeast and southwest regions, acts as a predictor for Chinese summer precipitation patterns, namely floods in the south and drought in the north. In a positive SIOD event, the southwestern Indian Ocean exhibits warmer SSTs, while the northeastern region remains cooler. A negative SIOD event shows the opposite pattern. During the positive phase of the SIOD, the winter SST distribution strengthens the 850-hPa cross-equatorial airflow, generating a robust low-level westerly jet that enhances water vapor transport to the Bay of Bengal (BoB). These air-sea interactions maintain lower SSTs in the northeastern region, which significantly increase the land-sea temperature contrast in the Northern Hemisphere during spring and summer. This strengthened thermal gradient intensifies the southwest monsoon, establishing a strong convergence zone near the South China Sea and amplifying monsoon-driven precipitation in South China. Additionally, CMIP6 models, such as NorESM2-LM and NorCPM1, which accurately simulate the SIOD pattern, effectively capture the seasonal response of cross-equatorial airflow driven by SST anomalies of Southern Indian Ocean. The result highlights the essential role of cross-equatorial airflow generated by the SIOD in forecasting cross-seasonal precipitation patterns.

     

/

返回文章
返回